🗳️ Elections
Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 11+ pts

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$4
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 11 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Michigan Senate margin of victory

Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 1+ pts
64%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 3+ pts
56%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 5+ pts
36%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 1+ pts
25%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 7+ pts
22%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 9+ pts
21%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 3+ pts
17%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Rogers, 5+ pts
11%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 13+ pts
7%
Michigan Senate margin of victory — Sayed, 15+ pts
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$4
Liquidity$3k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen