🎯 Other

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027?

Live
Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
14%
No
86%
No (86%)Yes (14%)
Polymarket
14%
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$7k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
14%
probability of YES
Polymarket
14%
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$7k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen