🎯 Other

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

Live

Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

50%

No (50%)Yes (50%)

Polymarket

50%

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".

Other

50%

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

Other

50%

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?

Other

50%

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by June 30?

Other

50%

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