🎯 Other

GPT-6 released by…?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2025Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-3 to GPT-4. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Dec 31, 2025
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryOther
StatusOpen
GPT-6 released by…?