🎯 Other

Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?

Live

Resolves Jun 30, 2026Polymarket

Volume-weighted avg

50%

No (50%)Yes (50%)

Polymarket

50%

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Argentina begins to peg its currency to the United States dollar (USD), or adopts the United States dollar as official legal tender, June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement that dollarization will begin will not be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" - for this market to resolve to "Yes", dollarization must have actually begun. Note: a peg does not need to be 1:1 to USD. This market's resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting indicating either of the listed scenarios have begun.

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50%

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Avg probability

50%

probability of YES