🎯 Other

xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?

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Resolves Jun 30, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Polymarket
50%
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Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any xAI Grok model achieves the listed score or greater on the FrontierMath Exam by FJune 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the Epoch AI’s Frontier Math benchmarking leaderboard (https://epoch.ai/frontiermath) for Tier 1-3. Studies which are not included in the leaderboard (e.g. https://x.com/EpochAIResearch/status/1945905796904005720) will not be considered. The primary resolution source will be information from EpochAI; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Avg probability
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probability of YES
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Resolution
Jun 30, 2026
Market is open
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24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen
xAI Grok score on FrontierMath Benchmark by June 30?