🗳️ Elections

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?

Live
Resolves Jun 25, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
57%
No
43%
No (43%)Yes (57%)
Polymarket
57%
Vol $15k
Trade on Polymarket
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
$15k
Liquidity
$26k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
57%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Jun 25, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$15k
Liquidity$26k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen