🗳️ Elections

Will Trump resign before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
2%
No
98%
No (98%)Yes (2%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$14k

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
2%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$14k
CategoryElections
StatusOpen