🎯 Other

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Live
Resolves Jun 30, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
26%
No
74%
No (74%)Yes (26%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
$421

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
26%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Jun 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity$421
CategoryOther
StatusOpen