🎯 Other

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?

Live
Resolves Jun 30, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Polymarket
50%
Trade on Polymarket →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman formally takes equity in OpenAI by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Taking equity is defined as Sam Altman acquiring or being granted shares, stock options, or any other form of ownership interest in OpenAI. Any pre-existing interest held through Y Combinator's investment fund or other indirect holdings made prior to Altman becoming full-time at OpenAI will not count toward this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Related Markets

Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?
Other
26%
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?
Other
0%
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Other
1%
OpenAI GPT score on Humanity’s Last Exam by June 30?
Other
50%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
50%Trade
Create Widget
Resolution
Jun 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity by June 30?