🗳️ Elections

Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon before 2027?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
23%
No
77%
No (77%)Yes (23%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity
$631

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between November 17, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
23%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity$631
CategoryElections
StatusOpen