🗳️ Elections

AZ-01 Republican Primary Winner

Live
Resolves Aug 4, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Aug 4, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen