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Will Trump be impeached by June 30?

Live
Resolves Jun 30, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
50%
No
50%
No (50%)Yes (50%)
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Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

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Avg probability
50%
probability of YES
Polymarket
Resolution
Jun 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryOther
StatusOpen
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?