🗳️ Elections

Lai Ching-te impeached by...?

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Polymarket
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Elections
Vol 24h
Liquidity

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

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Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Polymarket
TGWA
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume
Liquidity
CategoryElections
StatusOpen