🎯 Other
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.23% or above
Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
86%
No
14%
No (14%)Yes (86%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$24
Liquidity
$245
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 86%.
About this market
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.22% on Oct 5, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026?
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.15% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.13% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.11% or above
98%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.17% or above
97%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.19% or above
95%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.21% or above
94%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.25% or above
78%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.27% or above
65%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.29% or above
64%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.31% or above
22%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.33% or above
18%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.37% or above
10%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.35% or above
7%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 5, 2026? — 5.39% or above
2%
Resolution
Oct 5, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$24
Liquidity$245
CategoryOther
StatusOpen