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10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.24% or above

Live
Resolves Oct 6, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
83%
No
17%
No (17%)Yes (83%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$572

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 83%.

About this market

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.23% on Oct 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.2% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.22% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.16% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.18% or above
99%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.26% or above
80%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.28% or above
33%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.3% or above
26%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.32% or above
9%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.44% or above
2%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.36% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.42% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.38% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.34% or above
1%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 6, 2026? — 5.4% or above
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
83%
probability of YES
Kalshi
83%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 6, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$572
CategoryOther
StatusOpen