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10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.11% or above

Live

Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

99%

No (1%)Yes (99%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 99%.

About this market

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.10% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.73% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.61% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.69% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.79% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.91% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.01% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.11% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.17% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.19% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.89% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.97% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.71% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.17% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.87% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.95% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.15% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.63% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.07% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.93% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.03% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.15% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.09% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.13% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.81% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.77% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.67% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.83% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.75% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 4.85% or above

99%

10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026? — 5.13% or above

99%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

99%

probability of YES

Kalshi

99%Check

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Resolution

Sep 30, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$1

Liquidity$1

CategoryOther

StatusOpen