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America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner

America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Geno Ploeger

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
13%
No
87%
No (87%)Yes (13%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$13k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 13%. Kalshi has moved up 10pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Geno Ploeger is officially declared the winner of America's Got Talent Season 21, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner

America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Nene Royal
77%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Hundred Fingers
4%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Lai Noelle
4%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Unitree
3%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Olivia Befus
3%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Veronika Goroshkova
3%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Come Here
3%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Royal Lasers
2%
America's Got Talent Season 21 · Winner — Acro Canine Crew
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
13%
probability of YES
Kalshi
13%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$13k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen