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Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Ohio

Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$986
Liquidity
$976

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If Ohio is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$986
Liquidity$976
CategoryOther
StatusOpen