Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Payton Tolle: 2+

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Resolves Oct 3, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

57%

43%

No (43%)Yes (57%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 57%.

About this market

If Payton Tolle records 2+ earned runs in the Boston vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 29, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 3+

66%

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Payton Tolle: 3+

66%

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Payton Tolle: 4+

66%

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 4+

66%

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Payton Tolle: 1+

61%

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 1+

41%

Boston vs New York Y: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 2+

37%

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Avg probability

57%

probability of YES

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Resolution

Oct 3, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume$61

Liquidity$61

CategorySports

StatusOpen