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California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 710,000

Live
Resolves Nov 16, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
33%
No
67%
No (67%)Yes (33%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$456
Liquidity
$3k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 33%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the California FAIR Plan reports total FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 are above 710,000, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026

California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 680,000
98%
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 690,000
95%
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 700,000
84%
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 720,000
10%
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 730,000
3%
California FAIR Plan policies in force on September 30, 2026 — Above 740,000
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
33%
probability of YES
Kalshi
33%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 16, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$456
Liquidity$3k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen