⚽ Sports
Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi: Game Spread

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi: Game Spread — Carlos Alcaraz -6.5 games

Live
Resolves Oct 17, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
42%
No
58%
No (58%)Yes (42%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$7k
Liquidity
$7k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 42%.

About this market

If the game differential in favor of Carlos Alcaraz across the full match is above 6.5 games in the Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi professional tennis match in the 2026 ATP Tokyo Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi: Game Spread

Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi: Game Spread — Carlos Alcaraz -3.5 games
82%
Carlos Alcaraz vs Matteo Arnaldi: Game Spread — Carlos Alcaraz -9.5 games
5%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
42%
probability of YES
Kalshi
42%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 17, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$7k
Liquidity$7k
CategorySports
StatusOpen