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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 74° or below

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
91%
No
9%
No (9%)Yes (91%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$6k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 91%.

About this market

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 75° to 76°
13%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 79° to 80°
3%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 77° to 78°
3%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 83° or above
1%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 81° to 82°
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
91%
probability of YES
Kalshi
91%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$6k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen