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How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?

How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026? — 5.49% or above

Live
Resolves Sep 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
93%
No
7%
No (7%)Yes (93%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$902

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 93%. Kalshi has moved up 85pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the daily published par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.48% on any business day between Sep 9, 2026 and Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
93%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Sep 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$902
CategoryOther
StatusOpen