Crypto
How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

How low will Bitcoin get in 2026? — Below $40,000.00

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
7%
No
93%
No (93%)Yes (7%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Crypto
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$534k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 7%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is below $40000.00 starting Feb 5, 2026 and before Jan 1, 2027 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How low will Bitcoin get in 2026?

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
7%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$534k
CategoryCrypto
StatusOpen