🎯 Other
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.04% or below

Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
55%
No
45%
No (45%)Yes (55%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 55%.

About this market

If the daily published par yield for the 7-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.05% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?

How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.08% or below
85%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.11% or below
85%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.1% or below
83%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.05% or below
76%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.06% or below
74%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.09% or below
68%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.07% or below
63%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.03% or below
54%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.02% or below
52%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5.01% or below
48%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5% or below
46%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.99% or below
45%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.98% or below
43%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.97% or below
41%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.96% or below
39%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.95% or below
38%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.94% or below
35%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.93% or below
34%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.92% or below
33%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.91% or below
30%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.9% or below
28%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.89% or below
27%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.88% or below
26%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.87% or below
25%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.86% or below
24%
How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.85% or below
23%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
55%
probability of YES
Kalshi
TGWA
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen