🎯 Other
How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,100 or below

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
Loading...
Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$776
Liquidity
$39k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6100.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,300 or below
12%
How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,200 or below
8%
How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,000 or below
8%
How low will the S&P get this year? — 5,900 or below
8%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$776
Liquidity$39k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen