🎯 Other
How many launches will SpaceX have in September?

How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 8

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
41%
No
59%
No (59%)Yes (41%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$9k
Liquidity
$18k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 41%. Kalshi has moved down 39pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If SpaceX has more than 8 launches in Sep 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many launches will SpaceX have in September?

How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 7
89%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 9
7%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 14
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 12
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 10
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 16
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 18
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 13
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 17
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 11
1%
How many launches will SpaceX have in September? — Above 15
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
41%
probability of YES
Kalshi
41%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$9k
Liquidity$18k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen