🎯 Other
NY-04 House winner?

NY-04 House winner? — Laura Gillen

Live
Resolves Nov 3, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
89%
No
11%
No (11%)Yes (89%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$11k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 89%. Kalshi has moved down 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the House member sworn in for NY-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · NY-04 House winner?

NY-04 House winner? — Jeanine Driscoll
10%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
89%
probability of YES
Kalshi
89%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$11k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen