🎯 Other
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.1% or below
Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
38%
No
62%
No (62%)Yes (38%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 38%.
About this market
If the daily published par yield for the 10-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.11% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.28% or below
99%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.26% or below
99%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.27% or below
99%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.24% or below
98%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.25% or below
98%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.23% or below
98%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.17% or below
67%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.06% or below
39%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.05% or below
39%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.09% or below
39%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.11% or below
39%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.08% or below
38%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.07% or below
37%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5% or below
36%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 4.99% or below
33%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.22% or below
28%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.03% or below
27%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.02% or below
26%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.19% or below
22%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.16% or below
22%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.21% or below
22%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.01% or below
21%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.2% or below
19%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.13% or below
17%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.14% or below
17%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.15% or below
13%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.18% or below
13%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.12% or below
10%
How low will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026? — 5.04% or below
6%
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen