🎯 Other
Will the 30Y US Treasury yield hit 6% in October?

Will the 30Y US Treasury yield hit 6% in October? — 6% or higher

Live
Resolves Nov 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
—

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%.

About this market

If the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 30-year generic constant-maturity tenor is at least 6.00% on any business day from October 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM EDT through October 31, 2026 at 11:59:59 PM EDT, inclusive, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Nov 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen