🎯 Other
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.99% or below
Live
Resolves Oct 30, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
56%
No
44%
No (44%)Yes (56%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
—
Liquidity
—
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 56%.
About this market
If the daily published par yield for the 5-year U.S. Treasury is below 5.00% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.95% or below
73%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.94% or below
72%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.96% or below
71%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.98% or below
67%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.97% or below
65%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 5% or below
63%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.85% or below
55%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.93% or below
55%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.92% or below
53%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.91% or below
52%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.89% or below
49%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.9% or below
49%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.88% or below
46%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.87% or below
44%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.86% or below
42%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.79% or below
40%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.84% or below
40%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.83% or below
37%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.81% or below
33%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.8% or below
32%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.82% or below
32%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.78% or below
30%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.77% or below
28%
How low will the 5-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026? — 4.76% or below
13%
Resolution
Oct 30, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume—
Liquidity—
CategoryOther
StatusOpen