⚽ Sports
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Kylian Mbappe
Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026KalshiVolume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$16k
Liquidity
$834k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved down 4pp over the past 7 days.
About this market
If Kylian Mbappe wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Harry Kane
56%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lamine Yamal
24%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lionel Messi
9%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Rodri
4%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Jude Bellingham
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Erling Haaland
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Ousmane Dembele
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Nuno Mendes
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lautaro Martinez
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Vitinha
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Declan Rice
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Michael Olise
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Luis Diaz
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Bruno Fernandes
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Vinicius Junior
1%
Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$16k
Liquidity$834k
CategorySports
StatusOpen