⚽ Sports
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lionel Messi

Live
Resolves Dec 31, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
8%
No
92%
No (92%)Yes (8%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$46k
Liquidity
$879k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 8%. Kalshi has moved up 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Lionel Messi wins the Ballon d'Or in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026?

Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Harry Kane
60%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lamine Yamal
22%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Kylian Mbappe
9%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Rodri
4%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
2%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Ousmane Dembele
2%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Declan Rice
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Jude Bellingham
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Bruno Fernandes
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Vitinha
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Michael Olise
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Vinicius Junior
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Erling Haaland
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Lautaro Martinez
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Luis Diaz
1%
Who will win the Ballon d'Or in 2026? — Nuno Mendes
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
8%
probability of YES
Kalshi
8%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 31, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$46k
Liquidity$879k
CategorySports
StatusOpen