🎯 Other
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Florida
Live
Resolves Jan 3, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
29%
No
71%
No (71%)Yes (29%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$4k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 29%.
About this market
If Florida is the state with the highest 2024 Harris-minus-Trump presidential margin among states where a Republican candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
All outcomes · Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Maine
25%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Ohio
11%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Michigan
8%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — New Hampshire
6%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Minnesota
2%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Iowa
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Rhode Island
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Oregon
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Georgia
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — North Carolina
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Massachusetts
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Texas
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Illinois
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Delaware
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — New Mexico
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Colorado
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Virginia
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — New Jersey
1%
Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026? — Alaska
1%
Resolution
Jan 3, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$4k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen