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Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Liam Lawson

Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
5%
No
95%
No (95%)Yes (5%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$183
Liquidity
$120

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 5%.

About this market

If Liam Lawson set the fastest valid qualifying lap time in the Qualifying session (Q3) originally scheduled for October 3, 2026 that determines the starting grid for the main race at the 2026 Bahrain Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position

Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Max Verstappen
29%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Andrea Kimi Antonelli
19%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Lando Norris
15%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Lewis Hamilton
14%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — George Russell
10%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Charles Leclerc
9%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Isack Hadjar
5%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Pierre Gasly
5%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Oscar Piastri
2%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Alexander Albon
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Valtteri Bottas
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Esteban Ocon
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Sergio Perez
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Fernando Alonso
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Lance Stroll
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Franco Colapinto
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Oliver Bearman
1%
Bahrain Grand Prix Qualifying Session: Pole Position — Arvid Lindblad
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
5%
probability of YES
Kalshi
5%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 5, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$183
Liquidity$120
CategorySports
StatusOpen