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Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner

Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Lewis Hamilton

Live
Resolves Oct 3, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Sports
Vol 24h
$41k
Liquidity
$58k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 3%. Kalshi has moved down 8pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Lewis Hamilton finishes in exactly first in the main race originally scheduled for September 26, 2026 at the 2026 Azerbaijan Grand Prix, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner

Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — George Russell
66%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Andrea Kimi Antonelli
15%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Charles Leclerc
8%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Max Verstappen
6%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Oscar Piastri
5%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Lando Norris
4%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Isack Hadjar
2%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Carlos Sainz Jr.
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Oliver Bearman
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Fernando Alonso
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Arvid Lindblad
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Alexander Albon
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Nico Hulkenberg
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Valtteri Bottas
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Sergio Perez
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Lance Stroll
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Gabriel Bortoleto
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Pierre Gasly
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Franco Colapinto
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Liam Lawson
1%
Azerbaijan Grand Prix Winner — Esteban Ocon
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
3%
probability of YES
Kalshi
3%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 3, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$41k
Liquidity$58k
CategorySports
StatusOpen