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What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Josephine

Live
Resolves Dec 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
22%
No
78%
No (78%)Yes (22%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$152
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 22%. Kalshi has moved up 18pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a storm named Josephine is the first storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between May 15, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year?

What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Hanna
39%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Isaias
16%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Kyle
9%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Fay
4%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Marco
4%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Nana
4%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Teddy
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Vicky
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Arthur
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Gonzalo
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Dolly
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Rene
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Cristobal
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Sally
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Edouard
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Bertha
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Leah
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Paulette
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Omar
1%
What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic this year? — Wilfred
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
22%
probability of YES
Kalshi
22%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Dec 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$152
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen