🎯 Other
When will Google release Gemini 4?

When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Oct 1, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 1, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
11%
No
89%
No (89%)Yes (11%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$12k
Liquidity
$32k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 11%. Kalshi has moved up 3pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If Google releases Gemini 4 before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will Google release Gemini 4?

When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Jan 1, 2027
92%
When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Dec 1, 2026
92%
When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Nov 15, 2026
90%
When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Dec 15, 2026
83%
When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Nov 1, 2026
81%
When will Google release Gemini 4? — Before Oct 16, 2026
53%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
11%
probability of YES
Kalshi
11%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 1, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$12k
Liquidity$32k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen