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Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026? — 78° or above

Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
1%
No
99%
No (99%)Yes (1%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$853
Liquidity
$796

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 1%.

About this market

If the maximum temperature recorded at Chicago (CLIMDW) for Oct 4, 2026, is greater than 77° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026?

Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026? — 72° to 73°
51%
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026? — 74° to 75°
24%
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026? — 70° to 71°
22%
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026? — 69° or below
4%
Highest temperature in Chicago on Oct 4, 2026? — 76° to 77°
3%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
1%
probability of YES
Kalshi
1%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 5, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$853
Liquidity$796
CategoryOther
StatusOpen