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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 74° or below

Live
Resolves Oct 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
76%
No
24%
No (24%)Yes (76%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$6k
Liquidity
$5k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 76%.

About this market

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 1, 2026, is less than 75° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 75° to 76°
15%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 77° to 78°
4%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 79° to 80°
3%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 81° to 82°
2%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 1, 2026? — 83° or above
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
76%
probability of YES
Kalshi
76%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Oct 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$6k
Liquidity$5k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen