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Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026? — 89° to 90°

Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
25%
No
75%
No (75%)Yes (25%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$3k
Liquidity
$2k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 25%.

About this market

If the maximum temperature recorded at San Francisco (CLISFO) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 89-90° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026?

Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026? — 91° or above
27%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026? — 82° or below
20%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026? — 87° to 88°
16%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026? — 85° to 86°
14%
Highest temperature in San Francisco on Oct 4, 2026? — 83° to 84°
12%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
25%
probability of YES
Kalshi
25%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 5, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$3k
Liquidity$2k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen