🎯 Other
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 2

Live
Resolves Dec 2, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
10%
No
90%
No (90%)Yes (10%)
Check on Kalshi →
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$196
Liquidity
$16k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 10%. Kalshi has moved up 5pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the NOAA's National Hurricane Center records more than 2 hurricanes of hurricane category 3 or above between January 1, 2026 and December 01, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 0
70%
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 1
29%
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 3
3%
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 6
2%
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 7
2%
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 4
2%
How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026? — Above 5
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
10%
probability of YES
Kalshi
10%Check
TGWA
Create Widget
Resolution
Dec 2, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$196
Liquidity$16k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen