🎯 Other
Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026?

Will a hurricane make landfall in Hawaii in 2026? — Before 2027

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
9%
No
91%
No (91%)Yes (9%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$8k
Liquidity
$51k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 9%. Kalshi has moved up 2pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a 74 mph or higher hurricane makes landfall in Hawaii during the 2026 hurricane season, then the market resolves to Yes.

Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
9%
probability of YES
Kalshi
9%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$8k
Liquidity$51k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen