🎯 Other
Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026?
Northeast Cat 3+ hurricane landfall by Dec 31, 2026? — Category 3 or higher landfall
Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027KalshiVolume-weighted avg
3%
No
97%
No (97%)Yes (3%)
Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$13k
Liquidity
$8k
Market intelligence
Kalshi currently prices this at 3%.
About this market
If a Category 3 or higher hurricane makes landfall in the Northeast United States between October 6, 2026 at 11:30:00 AM EDT and December 31, 2026 at 11:59:00 PM EST, inclusive, as reported by NOAA's National Hurricane Center, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$13k
Liquidity$8k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen