🎯 Other
How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,300 or below

Live
Resolves Jan 1, 2027Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
12%
No
88%
No (88%)Yes (12%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$20k
Liquidity
$104k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 12%. Kalshi has moved down 1pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Jan 1, 2026 and ending on Jan 1, 2027 is below 6300.01, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · How low will the S&P get this year?

How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,000 or below
9%
How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,100 or below
8%
How low will the S&P get this year? — 6,200 or below
8%
How low will the S&P get this year? — 5,900 or below
7%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
12%
probability of YES
Kalshi
12%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Jan 1, 2027
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$20k
Liquidity$104k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen