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Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026? — 56° to 57°

Live
Resolves Oct 5, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
45%
No
55%
No (55%)Yes (45%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$1k
Liquidity
$706

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 45%.

About this market

If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City (CLINYC) for Oct 4, 2026, is between 56-57° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026? — 54° to 55°
64%
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026? — 52° to 53°
3%
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026? — 60° or above
1%
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026? — 51° or below
1%
Lowest temperature in New York City on Oct 4, 2026? — 58° to 59°
1%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
45%
probability of YES
Kalshi
45%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 5, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$1k
Liquidity$706
CategoryOther
StatusOpen