New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Freddy Peralta: 4+

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Resolves Oct 9, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

62%

38%

No (38%)Yes (62%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 62%.

About this market

If Freddy Peralta records 4+ earned runs in the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Freddy Peralta: 1+

76%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Freddy Peralta: 2+

51%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Freddy Peralta: 3+

48%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 3+

44%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 4+

43%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 2+

42%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: Earned Runs — Cam Schlittler: 1+

21%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

62%

probability of YES

Kalshi

62%Check

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Resolution

Oct 9, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategorySports

StatusOpen