New York Y vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread — New York Y wins by over 2.5 runs

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Resolves Oct 9, 2026Kalshi

Volume-weighted avg

17%

83%

No (83%)Yes (17%)

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Probability History

Market snapshot

Status

Open

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 17%.

About this market

If New York Y wins by more than 2.5 runs in the first 5 innings of the New York Y vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Oct 5, 2026 at 8:00 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · New York Y vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread — New York Y wins by over 1.5 runs

31%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread — Tampa Bay wins by over 1.5 runs

21%

New York Y vs Tampa Bay: First 5 Spread — Tampa Bay wins by over 2.5 runs

12%

Trade this marketLive prices

Avg probability

17%

probability of YES

Kalshi

17%Check

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Resolution

Oct 9, 2026

Market is open

Market stats

24h volume—

Liquidity—

CategorySports

StatusOpen