🎯 Other
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?

When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Oct 15, 2026

Live
Resolves Oct 15, 2026Kalshi
Volume-weighted avg
44%
No
56%
No (56%)Yes (44%)
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Probability History
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Market snapshot
Status
Open
Category
Other
Vol 24h
$5k
Liquidity
$9k

Market intelligence

Kalshi currently prices this at 44%. Kalshi has moved up 14pp over the past 7 days.

About this market

If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 74mph) forms in the Atlantic before Oct 15, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

All outcomes · When will the next Atlantic hurricane form?

When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Dec 1, 2026
71%
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Nov 1, 2026
68%
When will the next Atlantic hurricane form? — Before Nov 15, 2026
59%
Trade this marketLive prices
Avg probability
44%
probability of YES
Kalshi
44%Check
TGWA
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Resolution
Oct 15, 2026
Market is open
Market stats
24h volume$5k
Liquidity$9k
CategoryOther
StatusOpen